What Is The Impact Of Trump'S New Deal On Trade? The US Commodity Clearance Fair Is Very Active.

No profit can't rise early.

In the China Import and Export Fair (hereinafter referred to as the "Canton Fair") as the "weathervane" of China's foreign trade, American buyers are diligent.

In the past few days, Jack Obrien from Chicago, USA, was driven by an intermediary in China to the scene of the 121 Canton Fair in early.

When the reporter saw him at the home exhibition hall at 10 a.m., Jack, who had hurried back with a black satchel, had completed the first round of sweeping.

Jack is the founder of the Homestyles Sales & Market company in the US.

The main business of this small company is connected with China and the United States: through the participation of all kinds of exhibitions in China and the United States, we look for manufacturers in China and sell home furnishing products in the US.

Since he founded the company 12 years ago, he has been exhibiting around the country and has participated in the 25 Canton Fair.

Just during his regular exhibitions, Washington, Beijing, and Trump's expectations of the war of trade between China and the United States during the election campaign are still overhanging.

Quite a lot of people in the industry worry that the next trend of Sino US trade will cause much damage to industry.

After more than thirty years of ups and downs in Sino US trade, Jack, a senior exhibitor, spread out that politics has nothing to do with itself.

Instead, he talked with reporters about Amazon and the Internet.

"Compared to Trump, the Internet has had a great impact on my business."

He said bluntly.

The reporter interviewed more than 5 American consumer goods buyers, who were not aware of the possible impact of Trump's trade policy, and said they would not affect their decision-making.

Generally speaking, from the short-term effect, the policies that affect China's export to the US include exchange rate and tax policy.

However, the reporter's visit found that, compared with the uncertainty brought by the political and economic situation, the impact of the Internet and other factors on the US market is more concerned by the consumers in the industry.

Jack's clients in the US include both Internet platforms and traditional retailers.

What made Jack slightly uncomfortable is that 7 years ago, these internet platforms just sprouted, but now they have completely changed the development prospect of the entire retail industry.

Because the proportion of products sold through the Internet is getting higher and higher, if the US retailers do not have the corresponding online platform, it will be very difficult to survive.

Jack believes that under such circumstances, deciding the core of the enterprise is not how good the product is, but how the product is delivered. On this point, the industry giant Amazon has more resources.

Jack's business is relatively small and has no direct collaboration with Amazon.

"To be honest, it has also affected my business.

Because a very high percentage of my customers are traditional retail platforms. "

He said to reporters, "so I want to go to the scene to see what is happening around the world, and eventually the retail industry will find a solution."

At the same time, Keith from Keith Kibiloski in the southern part of the United States and his Asian partners just arrived at the Canton Fair's clock and exhibition area to sweep the goods.

He is senior president of Li Li International Limited, responsible for sales, and the main target products are watches and clocks and weather monitoring devices.

The difference is that as an importer and distributor, his company has direct cooperation with Amazon.

Under the impact of the Internet, WAL-MART, a giant in the US, is also planning cross-border and pformation.

He does not want to disclose the proportion of traditional retailers in his customers, but he also acknowledges that

The days of clients are rather sad.

"In the United States, people are shopping more and more through the Internet, and this trend will continue through the fact that the number of stores is decreasing.

But now the entities are also setting up platforms on the Internet. For example, WAL-MART has spent $3 billion 300 million (about 22 billion 700 million yuan) to acquire e-commerce start-ups Jet.com.

He reminded reporters.

Weng Lin Sheng, director of the international marketing center of the Zhejiang SUPOR Limited by Share Ltd (hereinafter referred to as SUPOR) cooking department, said they had already felt the chill of the trend.

At the beginning of the new year in 2017, the retail stores in the United States are going through the cold winter: Sears will file for bankruptcy, the Radio Shack filed for bankruptcy, the MC Sports declares bankruptcy and closes 68 stores, and Jesse pany (JCpenny) closes 138 stores this year, and Messi department stores closed 68 stores this year.

"Because of the fierce competition in the terminal market, the direct reduction of the unit price of the products purchased by customers is also a blow to us."

He said.

At present, SUPOR's US customers still focus on physical stores, accounting for about 80%. These customers are also the traditional guests to participate in the Canton Fair, including US trade intermediaries, importers and so on.

The exploration of online stores has just begun, and the proportion of sales through Amazon and other networks is still relatively limited.

Weng Linsheng said that compared with the more solid customers in Europe and other places, it is expected that fewer people will come to the US.

The impact of Trump's new deal on trade? Anyway, the trend of Sino US trade and the consequent impact have become one of the hottest international issues this year. Some parties have sent a sigh to reporters about the coming rain and wind.

But the American businessmen, including Jack, obviously did not care about Trump's words.

Jack studied marketing and economics at university. After he graduated, he joined two importers to do sales, then he worked with friends for 16 years, and then started his own company 12 years ago.

With so many years in and out of China and the United States, Jack believes that politicians can not change the overall business situation. Even if the Trump administration's decisions go too far, there must be corresponding forces to balance him.

"People may not need to be so anxious, politicians voice to try to seem important, but ultimately, business forces will prevail over political slogans."

According to his own experience, he said that the United States and China are closely related. China has a lot of treasury bonds, and the United States has purchased many products from China. Therefore, both China and the United States have checks and balances. No one has absolute oppressive power on the other side, and the strength of both sides is balanced.

Sometimes there are some minor frictions, but the big conflict is not in the interests of either side.

"What really affects business decisions is greater events, such as local wars.

If the world economy is affected by this, it is not good for everyone.

He said, "but many other similar political events may temporarily postpone trade, but will not let trade stagnate. We still have to eat, we have to put food on the table, and politicians know that."

Keith told reporters directly that nothing would happen. All this was just a show.

100 days passed. Trump did nothing but do Twitter every day.

"Do you want to repair the the Great Wall on the US Mexico border? Did you repair it? Did you veto Obama health care reform bill? We may see some changes, but it's much longer than 100 days."

At the exhibition, people from Wisconsin, who bought glasses, told reporters half jokingly, "if anyone really quit the market because of Trump's policy,"

Interestingly, Chinese manufacturers participating in the Canton Fair are obviously more worried about the impact from Trump than their American customers.

The US market is SUPOR's "half of the country". Weng Linsheng closely follows the Trump administration's policy trend.

Weng Linsheng believes that the unstable factors in the US market are likely to cause a decline in exports in the second half of the year. They have begun to actively expand other markets including Scandinavia (Norway, Denmark, etc.).

Yang Chongyi, deputy general manager of Zhejiang hares vacuum vessel Limited by Share Ltd international marketing department, has just completed the first spring Canton Fair.

In his view, both the quantity and quality of new customers are far beyond his expectations.

More specifically, the United States accounts for 56% of the global thermos cup market, while in the hare export market, the United States accounts for 60%.

In the second half of 2016, in the second half of 2016, we caught up with a well-known American brand customer and developed the explosive products. Last year, the average growth rate of the subdivision market for North American exports reached 50%, while Hal's growth rate was over 110%.

This rapid growth continued to the first quarter of this year, but with the advent of the two quarter, Yang Chongyi felt that maintaining such a growth challenge is enormous.

He was also worried.

If the policy really points to exchange rate or tariff, it will have an impact on the company.

Of course, there may be fewer American consumer goods to compete with American manufacturers. So far, there are few cases of anti-dumping or countervailing.

According to the statistics of the US Department of Commerce, furniture, toys and textiles occupy the second and third place of the US's imports from China respectively, accounting for 12.1% and 8.5% of the total imports from China in 2016.

China's furniture and toys,

Luggage and other light industrial products and leather goods bags account for 59.3%, 60.2% and 55% of the US import market, and have absolute competitive advantages.

The latest typical case of Sino US trade friction was the announcement by the US Commerce Department on March 28th local time, which decided to initiate anti-dumping investigations and countervailing investigations on aluminum foil imported from China.

Wang Hejun, director of the Ministry of Commerce and trade relief, pointed out that the aluminum industry between China and the United States has strong complementarity. Alcoa has been withdrawing from the low value-added aluminum foil production more than 20 years ago, concentrating on the production and export of high-end aluminum products.

The decline in US aluminum foil production is not caused by the export of China's aluminum foil to the US.

China believes that the irrational use of trade remedy measures will not only damage the export interests of China's aluminum foil enterprises, but also weaken the competitiveness of the downstream industries of the United States, which is not conducive to the domestic employment of the United States, but will also affect the welfare of the American consumers. Finally, the two industries of China and the United States will be hurt.

Timing may also be a problem.

The former director of the Ministry of Commerce, the former director of the Meida division, said that the economic and trade relations between China and the United States are expected to be greater than competition in general. Although there has been an increase in competition in recent years, the bilateral economic and trade pattern has changed considerably compared with many years ago.

When dealing with China's economic and trade issues, the Trump administration should weigh the pros and cons and make decisions after considering all other factors.

Neither Jack nor his American counterparts tell him that his business is promising and will not change the order plan in China.

"The economy is in good condition this year, so business should be good."

After he finished talking, he rushed back into the exhibition hall and hurried into the day's sweeping.

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