Jiangsu'S Foreign Trade Development Entered The "New Normal" In 2015.

(1) the import and export of foreign trade has entered a slow growth stage.

After joining the WTO, Jiangsu province began to enter a stage of rapid development of foreign trade. In 2001 -2007, the average annual growth rate of Jiangsu's foreign trade reached 37.7%.

After the international financial crisis, with the change of international market demand, Jiangsu Province

The growth rate of imports and exports began to receded, with an average annual growth rate of 6.2% in 2008 -2014.

Especially since 2012, the growth rate has been lower than 2% year-on-year for 3 consecutive years, which indicates that the steady growth of foreign trade in the province has gradually stabilized.

Because the scale of Jiangsu's existing economy and trade has been very large, it is difficult for foreign trade to get the driving force of breakthroughs before the new round of technological revolution and the pformation and upgrading that lead to new growth momentum.

Low growth will become the "new normal" of foreign trade.

(two) part of the manufacturing industry has entered a period of pformation and upgrading.

In 2014, some manufacturing industries in Jiangsu entered a period of pformation and upgrading.

On the one hand, the pformation and upgrading of product structure to meet market demand, on the other hand, the pformation and upgrading of business development mode, so as to raise the level of profit.

For example, the adjustment of the product structure is being carried out in the shipbuilding industry; the Suzhou Industrial Park is introducing new projects such as small business incubators, mainly for technology import and R & D; on the one hand, the Kunshan comprehensive insurance area has undertaken a large number of orders for mobile phones and e-readers in the existing field of OEM; on the other hand, it has gradually formed a complete downstream industrial chain with liquid crystal as the core.

But the running in period of pformation and upgrading may suppress the growth rate of normal production and trade, and will be a long-term process.

(three) the regional economic layout will continue to affect the development of foreign trade.

Since 2014, the regional economic layout has become more and more prominent in the overall macroeconomic situation of our country, and its development ideas are becoming clearer and clearer.

Among them, the "Yangtze River Economic Belt", involving 2 cities in 9 provinces, helps to form an open and unified market system with a total factor mobility in the upper and middle reaches, and strengthens industrial division and cooperation on the basis of their comparative advantages.

The provinces and cities involved in the Yangtze River economic belt are more differentiated in economic development and provide a better basis for division of labor and cooperation.

As the largest province of foreign trade in the economic belt, Jiangsu has no doubt about its leading role in the development of foreign trade.

As the Yangtze River shipping volume 75% is concentrated in the Jiangsu section, this is a good foundation for establishing a "link up" and import and export warehousing and trading center. At the same time, relying on the Yangtze River waterway, it can also open a win-win situation of industrial pfer and pformation.

In addition, the strategic layout of the international economic development of "one belt and one road" is also gradually developing. It will continue to play a positive role in expanding the new space of two domestic and international markets in Jiangsu.

(four) trade frictions in the international market have normalized.

In recent years, China's export products are encountering more and more frequent trade frictions in the international market. Especially in this year, the export volume of steel and the long period of deep dispute bogged down are the most serious trade frictions. These two fields are the dominant areas of our province's export, and are affected more deeply.

In a recent business survey, the customs learned that in December 16th, when the US announced the final result of the two round of "double reverse" of PV in China, some of the PV enterprises in the province decided that their domestic factories should abandon the US market and export to the US by their overseas foundries.

The impact of trade friction on foreign trade enterprises in the province has become more extensive and in-depth, and has gradually become the norm in the field of foreign trade.

(five) "

"Will continue to affect the development of related industries in our province.

The scale of Jiangsu's overcapacity industry is huge, and the process of resolving excess capacity will have an impact on the production and operation of related industries. Taking the steel industry as an example, the province has proposed to eliminate and reduce 4 million tons of steel production capacity by the end of 2015. The above energy-saving and emission reduction tasks will inevitably affect the normal production, operation and export of the steel industry.

In the enterprise investigation, the customs learned that some large iron and steel enterprises in the province were faced with heavy employment and resettlement in addition to sunk costs in the process of capacity elimination.

The impact of "de capacity" on related industries will become normal for some time.

(six) new type

Or become the "starting point" to boost foreign trade growth.

At present, most of the development of new trade formats rely on the Internet economy, such as the cross-border trade e-commerce in Suzhou. Many import trading centers with network trading functions in the province are leading the development of new trade formats in Jiangsu.

In addition, some new trade formats relying on innovative supervision methods are also growing rapidly. For example, the pilot work of "market purchase" trade mode represented by Nantong's peri bridge, Kunshan's surrounding counties such as Hua Qiao, etc., are setting up Taiwan's consumer goods import bonded warehouses, and through various forms of trade fairs to establish and improve the business platform from Taiwan's import trade.

In the period of the development of manufacturing industry which has not yet formed a new growth momentum, taking the new trade format as the "starting point", or will become a breakthrough in the growth of foreign trade.