US Cotton Supply And Planting Area Declined

< p > world 2013/14 year < a href= "//www.sjfzxm.com/" target= "_blank" > strong > cotton > /strong > /a > production is expected to be 118 million packages, 3% less than last year, because the market environment is not as good as last year.

The main cotton producing countries, such as China and the United States, have seen a decline in production, which is expected to offset the increase in output in other countries, such as Brazil and India.

It is understood that the growth rate of cotton in the United States continues to lag behind last year, and is lower than the average growth rate in recent five years, and the United States will further adjust its cotton planting area under the premise of total output unchanged.

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< p > July 2013 cotton production forecast for the United States was 13 million 500 thousand packs, which is expected to be 3 million 800 thousand less than that in 2012.

Although the planting area has been expanded according to the June acreage, according to the present situation, the area has been adjusted, so the output has remained unchanged.

This year's drought in the Southwest has continued, although rainfall has slowed the drought of other cotton growing belts in 2013.

The abandonment of area and yield is expected to be based on the average of 2010~2012 and regional weighted data.

However, the harvest area in the southwestern region has been further adjusted, including the estimated abandonment rate of 40% in the region.

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< p > according to the report of planting area in June, the planting area has been enlarged, but according to the present situation, the area has been adjusted, so the output has remained unchanged.

This year's drought in the Southwest has continued, although rainfall has slowed the drought of other cotton growing belts in 2013.

American growers say they have planted or planned to grow 10 million 250 thousand acres of cotton in 2013, 2% higher than expected in March, but 17% less than in 2012.

Harvest area is also expected to be lower than last year, because the long drought in the southwestern region has lasted for three years.

Nationwide, the abandonment rate in 2013 is expected to be 24% (2 million 450 thousand acres).

The expected abandonment rate in 2013 is the same as last year's 24% (2 million 900 thousand acres), but far lower than the 36% abandonment rate (5 million 300 thousand acres) in 2011.

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The planting area of Upland Cotton in all cotton planting belts is expected to decrease from P to 36% in the period of < p > 2013, because the price of alternative crops is relatively high, which reduces the enthusiasm of cotton planting.

It is reported that the planting area in the southwest region is close to 5 million 900 thousand acres (15%), and the abandonment rate in 2013 is expected to be higher than the average abandonment rate again.

In the southeast and delta areas, the planting area is estimated to be 2 million 500 thousand acres (8%) and 1 million 300 thousand acres (36%).

The planting area of Upland Cotton in the western region is expected to be reduced by 17% from 2012 to 320 thousand acres.

In addition, the extra long staple cotton planting area (mainly in the West) is expected to reach 226 thousand acres, which is about 5% less than that in 2012.

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In 2013, the growth of cotton in the United States continued to lag behind the average growth rate of last year and 5 years. P

As of July 7th, 51% of cotton budding, compared to the same period last year, the buds rate is 67%, the average annual 2008~2012 bud rate is 63%.

Similarly, the fruit set rate was only 10% at the beginning of July, compared with 21% in 2012 and 18% in 5 years.

Meanwhile, the growth of cotton in the United States was the same as last year's growth and the average growth rate of 5 years earlier this year.

As of July 7th, 44% of the US cotton area was classified as "good" or "excellent", the same as last year, 24% of the cotton fields were classified as "poor" or "very poor", compared to the same period in 2012, the proportion was 28%.

In 2013/14, the us a href= "//www.sjfzxm.com/" target= "_blank" > strong > textile > /strong > /a > Product and a href= "a", "target=", "clothing" < > > Enterprise consumption is expected to be 3 million 500 thousand bags.

Exports are expected to be inhibited by lower US production and lower demand for foreign imports, especially in China.

Although the global cotton trade in 2013/14 has decreased, the proportion of world trade in the United States is estimated at 28.7%, basically the same as that predicted in 2012/13.

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< p > the current US forecast is 831 pounds per harvest per mu, which is 6% less than the 887 pounds per year and 6% per mu, but higher than the average yield of 798 pounds in 2008~2011.

In August, the National Bureau of agricultural statistics of the US Department of agriculture will publish its first cotton production report based on field surveys in 2013.

As 2012/13 draws to a close, demand forecast is adjusted due to the recent slowdown in US export shipment.

This month's export forecast was cut by 300000 packages to 13 million 300 thousand bales.

Although export demand is down, US exports are still far higher than the 11 million 700 thousand 2011/12 export package.

Therefore, the end of 2012/13 inventory was raised to 3 million 900 thousand packages, and the inventory to consumption ratio was 23%.

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