A Stock Grinding Process Or Long &Nbsp; Vigilance Sudden Factors Impact

For two weeks, the continuous volume seems to indicate that the price of land is near.

However, this week's 2437 point "self rescue" behavior is powerless, and once again reveals the extreme weakness of the current market.

According to the rule of the trilogy of "valuation policy market", the market has not yet run to the real bottom.

but

In the current situation, the policy is only temporarily entering the observation period.

On the one hand, the high price fall trend has not yet been formally established. Under the stimulation of the new price increase factor, the inflation in the fourth quarter is difficult to materiality.

On the other hand, from the perspective of economic operation cycle, the overall economy in August is still in a steady running trend.

Although the industrial added value dropped year by year, people worried about the economy.

From another perspective, the downward trend of economic growth has been established, but the market bottom usually leads the economy in the first quarter to half a year.

If the management is waiting for the price to fall down with the existing policy and the economic growth will succeed in the next half a year, the current policy is already at the bottom.

As a result, the 2400 point may be quietly building the middle and long-term bottom of the market.

A big logic that supports the bottom area is also a frequent raid on overseas negative factors. It may have hit the A shares to the bottom. After all, the "bottom deviation" feature of A shares has become increasingly evident.

The debt problem in Europe and America is not a scourge.

From the operational cycle of the European and American economies, after being stimulated by the "strong heart" from the super currency, whether or not there is "cardio" is not so important. The recovery of the European and American economies will eventually need the endogenous force to push forward, but the process will be longer.

In other words, the short-term economy in Europe and America will still be surprised, but the medium and long - term trend of its slow recovery should not change.

It should be pointed out that the market grinding process is very long, and there are still some problems to be excluded.