Gao Yong: Current Textile Economic Situation And Development Points Of The 14Th Five Year Plan

On January 16, the 15th Annual Meeting of China Textile round table forum was held in Asia Hotel Beijing. The theme of the forum is "building a new pattern of high quality development in the 14th five year plan". Gao Yong, Secretary of the Party committee of China Textile Industry Federation, delivered a keynote speech on the current textile economic situation and the development points of the 14th five year plan. The following is the transcript:

I am very pleased to attend the 15th Annual Meeting of the China Textile round table forum. I would like to take this opportunity to introduce to you the situation of China's textile industry. In particular, we are working out the "14th five year plan" to introduce the development focus of the "14th five year plan". The past year has been a very memorable year, which is also the last year of the 13th five year plan. Let me first introduce the textile situation in 2020. The second is to share with you the basis and some ideas for the development of the textile industry during the 14th Five Year Plan period. Finally, I would like to introduce to you the key points of the development of the textile industry during the 14th Five Year Plan period.

I. textile situation in 2020

In 2020, the impact of the epidemic on the textile industry is huge. In the whole industrial manufacturing industry, many basic industries will not be greatly affected by the new infrastructure. The growth of the whole industry is also above the growth of the national economy. However, as an industry mainly producing consumer goods, the impact on the textile industry is huge. Here are some data for you. For example, most of the major indicators of this year are negative. In addition to the positive growth in exports, slight growth in chemical fiber and high growth in industrial textiles in various industries, almost all other industries have negative growth. Of course, up to now, I'm optimistic about the recovery in September and October. I think that according to the recovery in September and October, can we become a full-time official? As a result, the economic data for December have not been released yet, but the possibility of becoming a regular is not too great. However, the profit situation of the whole industry is slightly lower than that of the previous two years. To be honest, it is not too much. By November, our profit margin can still maintain 4.3%, which is beyond my expectation.

Several major indicators, such as domestic sales, have been falling all the way since the outbreak of the epidemic, but they have been picking up month by month. In particular, online sales have turned positive since the middle of the year. Moreover, the proportion of online sales, especially the proportion of online sales of clothing, has now exceeded that of offline sales. First, this is the trend of development. Second, during the epidemic last year, no one can go out, We can't go out for about half a year, so the online sales of clothing and home textile consumer goods have increased more, but the sales of the whole clothing are still negative.

The only exciting thing is the growth of our export. The export express in December has come out, which is US $291.2 billion. This is the express number of the customs. According to the past statistical method of the Textile Industry Federation, it will be close to 300 billion US dollars. This 300 billion US dollars is basically the same as our export peak in 2012, that is to say, last year in the whole country Under the situation of industry recession, most of them are negative growth, and our export has achieved the second highest in history. The second highest export in history is due to the growth of our anti epidemic and protective textiles. According to the customs express, 224.2 billion masks were exported in the whole year last year. That is to say, we Chinese provided 40 masks to everyone in the world. So the basic data now is that about 80% of the masks and protective clothing are provided by China. Therefore, this has also boosted our export data. Moreover, the export of masks is close to 60 billion US dollars, plus protection The total export of these anti epidemic textiles, such as clothing, disinfection paper towel, and so on, exceeded 70 billion US dollars. Among the total exports, anti epidemic textiles alone accounted for 1 / 3 of the total exports. Therefore, even though the textile exports have achieved the second highest in history, we should see that the export of our clothing has continued to decline, mainly driven by the anti epidemic textiles.

As mentioned just now in the industry, because it is mainly driven by epidemic prevention textiles, our industrial textiles industry has made a great success last year. The added value of the whole industry actually reached more than 50%, and the highest value-added reached more than 60%. This is a miracle. The total profit increased by more than 200%, and the highest profit was over 300% in several months. Of course, this also shows that our textile industry has made outstanding contributions to the whole society and the whole people's fight against the epidemic. Therefore, in the previous national awards and various awards at the provincial and ministerial levels, our textile enterprises and textile workers accounted for the proportion of the awards, second only to the medical industry. Because of the time, I would like to briefly introduce the situation.

What is the basis for us to enter the 14th five year plan? Before 2005, while formulating the 11th five year plan, we formulated an outline of textile power. It will take 15 years to basically build China into a textile power. The 15-year period is 2020. Therefore, last year, we also made an evaluation of our "strong country outline" before drawing up the "14th five year plan". We think that the "strong country outline" formulated in the "strong country outline" has the following advantages We have basically achieved our goal.

In the second half of 2019, the Chinese Academy of engineering has organized dozens of academicians and experts to draw a conclusion by comparing more than 20 industries in China's manufacturing industry with those in advanced countries. Among them, five industries have reached the world's advanced level, and two of these five industries have already been at the world's leading level. These two industries are textile industry and home appliance manufacturing industry. As a manufacturing power, our goal is basically achieved. Why do you say that? It is because, first of all, the total scale of our country now exceeds 50% of the world's, and the output of chemical fiber exceeds 70% of the world's. in terms of export volume, we have exceeded 1 / 3 of the global trade volume, which was 34% last year. This proportion is even higher this year. Second, our industrial system is the most complete. We have any textile related systems in the world in China, and some of them have not yet been found abroad. Third, our current product level, our technology and manufacturing level and our equipment level are all in the advanced position in the world. Therefore, based on this, we believe that as a manufacturing power, we have basically achieved this goal. Therefore, this has also laid a good foundation for our high-quality development during the "14th five year plan".

Of course, power is a process of continuous development, and it is only a stage in the process of development. Therefore, the pace of becoming a powerful country can never be stopped. We have to continue to take the road of becoming a powerful country during the period of the "14th five year plan". However, we still have to face many crises and problems, including waiting for a while Health experts will tell us about the macro situation. There are some problems in economic globalization, including the continuous development of the epidemic situation, including the pattern of international division of labor faced by textile industry, which has also undergone new changes. Just now I talked about why the export of our clothing is declining. In fact, it is also an international division of labor, which is changing. Of course, in accordance with the new pattern set by the Central Committee, under the development pattern of internal circulation, the potential of our domestic demand market will continue to be exerted. Therefore, it should be said that during the period of the 14th five year plan, there are still many problems in the process of development. However, we should still have a good opportunity to lay a good foundation. Therefore, we should say that we are still facing a very good situation in the development of the 14th five year plan.

During the development period of the "14th five year plan", our development priorities are summarized in two aspects

The first is to speed up the development of high-quality to improve the textile industry base, to achieve high-end, high-end. There are four main aspects in this high-end development, which are also the four aspects that we will promote in the science and technology program during the "14th five year plan" period:

1. Accelerate the independent innovation of new fiber materials and equipment. To tell you the truth, there is still a big gap between our high-performance fiber and high-tech fiber and the international top level. Therefore, we need to improve the foundation of high-performance fiber and green fiber. Just now, I discussed with Academician Shan about how to lay a foundation for composite materials and develop green fibers. In green fibers, biomass fibers and raw materials should be developed. There are also a large number of general-purpose fibers in a wide range of functionalization, differentiation to continue to go up.

2. In terms of green manufacturing, when we talk about textiles, especially printing and dyeing, they say that it is polluting the environment. Moreover, carbon neutralization and carbon emissions are key industries affected in the future. Therefore, green manufacturing capacity is also the way we should focus on during the 14th Five Year Plan period. Green fiber, green product, processing process and manufacturing process are green.

3. Focus on the development of high-end textile products. As we all know, we have the largest amount of fiber. Our clothing and household textiles, including non-woven fabrics, are also the largest in the world. We can say that any major brands in the world, including clothing brands and home textile brands, are processed in China. Our processing capacity, processing equipment and processing technology are no less than those of any country. However, we must also see that there are still some short boards in these finished products, including industrial textiles. Whether it is high-tech fibers or the whole processing technology, we also have many short boards. Therefore, when the textile industry reaches the largest scale in the world, we should also improve the level of these textile products as soon as possible.

4. The last is to vigorously develop intelligent textile manufacturing. Since the 12th Five Year Plan, we have achieved preliminary results in ten years. During the 12th Five Year Plan period, we have launched demonstration projects during the 13th Five Year Plan period. 7 + 1 is seven intelligent manufacturing production lines and one intelligent manufacturing demonstration workshop. During the "13th five year plan" period, the batch promotion has been started, which is not just demonstration. Therefore, for example, our complete set of cotton spinning equipment has gone from 150 people per 10000 spindles in the past "Twelfth Five Year Plan" period, and now 10-15 people per 10000 spindles have been realized. Moreover, in the next 2-3 years, we will launch Manual Free textile yarn production Factory, chemical fiber engineering can also basically achieve intelligent. However, if we want to popularize these projects which have basically realized automation and intelligence, one is that the speed is slow, and the second is to have a large investment. So at the same time, we will use numerical control and network means to upgrade our traditional equipment on a large scale. This is in accordance with the three paradigms of intelligent manufacturing of the Institute of engineering. During the 14th Five Year Plan period, we should transform and upgrade traditional equipment in accordance with the second paradigm. Therefore, during the "14th five year plan" period, our whole idea of textile intelligent manufacturing is basically to continue the ideas of our engineering institute and the 13th Five Year Plan period. One is that intelligent complete sets of equipment should start to accelerate the promotion. At the same time, a large number of these equipment, especially those from 10-15 years ago, have the function of numerical control, so we have to collect them on the machine The whole ERP system can basically realize numerical control, network and preliminary intelligence.

The second is to take the supply side reform as the main line, guide the development of the consumer side, and realize the modernization of the entire textile industry. The main purpose of this sentence is to carry out structural adjustment, the first of which is about the layout of our regional and resource structure. The regional layout is still like the transfer of production capacity from the east to the Midwest. In recent years, the central and western regions have been very active during the 13th Five Year Plan period. Many provinces and cities have attracted a large number of orders from the central and western regions for processing.

Another improvement is that we still adhere to unswervingly expanding the proportion of industrial textiles in the textile industry. In 2019, the total processing volume of industrial textiles has exceeded that of household textiles, becoming the second largest category except for clothing. Moreover, in 2020, due to the increased production capacity of non-woven fabrics and anti epidemic textiles, industrial textiles will reach 33% of the total processing volume of industrial textiles at the end of the 13th five year plan formulated during the 13th Five Year Plan period. We are also worried that 33% of the total industrial textiles will not be completed by 2020 Now it looks like it's going to be done. During the 14th Five Year Plan period, we should continue to improve and expand the production capacity, scale, level and quality of industrial textiles.

Of course, there is also a structural shift. We should continue to follow our past international production capacity cooperation and the "belt and road" cooperation, because this is also an industry that we, as a dominant industry, must accelerate the international layout.

There are also two aspects of structural adjustment: one is the adjustment of resource structure. At present, the output of chemical fiber exceeds 70% of the world's total. In the structure of our own processing in China, the whole chemical fiber has accounted for about 85%. However, more than 90% of the 85% is synthetic fiber, which comes from oil and natural gas. Therefore, the first thing we should do is to speed up the regeneration of fibers in the fiber structure. The natural fiber resources include viscose staple fiber, green fiber such as PL fiber and degradable fiber. At the same time, according to the situation of China's resources and the construction of coal chemical industry, we should increase the chemical fiber from coal raw materials during the "14th five year plan" We should speed up the adjustment of the layout.

Because there is still a lot to be said about the adjustment of these structures, time will not take up too much time here, and many experts will have high-level reports later.

The "14th five year plan" of our textile industry and the key points of its development will be disclosed to our industry in various meetings and media. I hope you will pay attention to a series of activities of our textile industry federation in the near future.