The Textile Industry Is Turning Around, And The Domestic Market Will Turn Around.
From the difficulty of recruiting workers to the serious shortage of orders, it is hard to say that this year's weaving market can be said to be very fast. Once, "the machine opens, the golden days" can no longer go back. Many cloth boss sigh: This is the industry big shuffle! If you can't get through it, you'll die on the beach!
Walking around the market is a busy time. According to past practice, it should be the golden time of "golden three silver and four red May", but there are few samples in the market. All this is the black swan event caused by the new crown disease.
Textile market says, "3 points depend on domestic trade and 7 points depend on foreign trade". With the continuous fermentation of foreign epidemic situation, the number of confirmed diagnoses exceeds 1 million 800 thousand in China, especially in the United States. As one of the largest economies in the world, the number of confirmed cases has exceeded 630 thousand. This makes the global anxiety aggravated and needs to be drastically reduced, and foreign trade orders have almost stopped. If we compare domestic trade and foreign trade to two legs and one leg, how can the other leg walk well?
What is the current market?
Raw materials are easy to fall or rise, or there is a 400-500 drop in space.
This year's raw materials are also a mystery. In the past year, there has been a wave of rising prices of raw materials, but this year it has only fallen and fallen below the bottom line. Every time I think the raw materials are in the end, the time has come to collect the bottom, but many weaving enterprises are still copying the bottom and copying them halfway up the mountain. Specifically, at present, the price of polyester filament FDY products is about 5400 yuan / ton, and the price of POY products is about 4875 yuan / ton, and the price of DTY products is about 6700 yuan / ton, compared with the price at the beginning of the year, it has declined to varying degrees.
And whether crude oil or PTA, terminal demand, there is no good support at present, polyester price continues to explore the probability is very large. Hu Yuan, who runs the main textile industry in spring and Asia, said: "this year, we have eaten a lot of raw materials. We stored up a wave of raw materials before we thought that we could get a little bit higher after the start of the year. As a result, there was an epidemic. Now we need to lose nearly 3 million of the raw materials, and the order is not good. Now the price of raw materials will not touch any more."
In the near future, throughout the textile industry chain, all links have been tormented by various orders. The atmosphere of various production cuts and shutdowns has spread among different factories. Even some textile traders who do not have the pressure of inventory, factory buildings and workers' wages have begun to discuss the plan of shift work. It seems that the entire textile industry will enter a holiday similar to the Spring Festival.
But this kind of cold and cheerless market can be said to be not thorough, and it is far from enough for all textile workers to do nothing. Especially in dyeing mills, although most of the recent news on holidays and shutdowns came from them, most of them were able to maintain a steady order volume, and even some orders for dyeing factories were much higher than before.
Daily warehouse 400 thousand meters, maintain 60% employees production
The textile market is good. After the opening of the market, dye factory actually ushered in a wave of "little spring". At the time of the resumption of the market, dyeing workers were in short supply. The backlog of orders was concentrated again. The dyeing factory was still busy, and the shipment period was about 15-20 days. But now there is a big reversal in the dyeing plant, and the boot rate is basically fluctuating at 55%. There are a few dyeing factories that are open and live.
One dyeing factory official said frankly, "the situation of dyeing plant is very bad now, and the order is shrinking seriously. Only the past 1/2 and dye vat only opened 1/3. Orders are not enough to follow up, funds are tight, and workers with 1/2 are taking turns to rest, so they can only pay a small amount of subsidy.
Another dyeing factory official also said: "dyeing factory is quite different from the same period in previous years, and the shipping cycle is only about 1 weeks. At present, we only make orders for our own weaving factories. There is no outside order to come in. The machine will start to stop. In a word, it will be miserable. "
According to the head of a dyeing factory in Jiangsu and Zhejiang provinces, they have more than 100 dyed cylinders in the factory, and the processing capacity of grey cloth is about 700 thousand meters per day. But they did not have more than 700 thousand meters of grey cloth in the past few days, especially in the past half a month, which remained at about 400 thousand meters.
There are not only such dyeing factories that can maintain normal production in the market, but also some orders which are beyond the market. According to the introduction, a recent dyeing mill in the market has reached 1 million M / day. In today's printing and dyeing Market, such a large volume of warehouses has the feeling of "standing in a crowd".
Not only is dyed factories, but also the performance of weaving enterprises can explain that the recent textile market is not as bad as expected. Although all textile factories have indicated that the shortage of orders and backlog of stock in recent years, the start-up rate is generally over 50%, and many of them are in 100%. Grey cloth is still moving, and there are even a large number of individual varieties.
Single volume is mainly from domestic orders and dye charges.
Orders for domestic trade
Although all textile traders reacted to the reduction in orders, this reduction occurred more frequently in foreign trade orders. Although domestic trade orders have also dropped sharply at the beginning of the resumption of work, with the control of domestic epidemic situation, the travel restrictions have been liberalized in various regions, and clothing shopping and consumption have gradually returned. Domestic orders gradually began to resume, and began to gradually convey to weaving, printing and dyeing.
According to the dyeing factory, most of the orders they are making are domestic orders, especially the latest quantity of nylon fabrics. Quite a few of these orders are made for sun protection clothing, mainly in the summer, and this kind of clothing will soon sell well, and another part is to make down garments. The clothing market has basically been missed this spring, but the domestic market will still be able to fight for it in the summer and autumn and winter.
Dyeing charges attract orders
In fact, in the printing and dyeing Market, not every dyeing factory has many orders, which can maintain normal production, or even a trend of polarization. Of course, the reason for this trend is also very simple, basically because the price of dye is different.
According to a trader, they recently had a single 100 thousand meter chiffon. Under normal circumstances, the dyeing cost of this fabric should be around 2.3 yuan / meter, and extra money will be added to meet the special color cost. In addition, because it is a rare foreign trade order, the price is very low, only 0.88 US dollars per meter.
So they have to find the cheapest dyeing factory. The price of such a small factory can be reduced to half of the original price, which can be processed at about 1.1 yuan per meter.
Judging from the current situation of dyeing plants, the textile market is not as bad as everyone imagined. The market has not developed to a worse state like pneumonia. In particular, domestic trade orders have gradually revival and began to play the leading role in the market. However, because the market is still in a state of "oversupply", it is quite common to regard price theory as a success or failure. Companies and factories with low prices often have more orders, while other factories are relatively light.
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