The Adoption Of Limited Production Measures In The Top Eight Industries Of Nylon Is Still Strong.
From January 1, 2017 to June 30, 2017, the trend of nylon filament related products and nylon staple fibers were consistent, showing a trend of first rise and then fall.
As of June 30th, the mainstream price of nylon DTY (70D/24F) was 20233 yuan / ton, 12.03% lower than the beginning of the year, and the current nylon market is running weak.
Take nylon DTY (70D/24F) for example, the highest point in half year was February 20, 2017, the price was 25116 yuan / ton, compared with the beginning of the year, it increased by 9.20%.
Since mid November 2016, the nylon market has been rising unilaterally, exceeding the February 20, 2017 price increase by over 40%, which is the most amazing experience in three years.
At the end of January -2, the market trend of nylon was rising.
In January, the nylon market was promoted by the favorable mid November 2016, and the price still rose, but it coincided with the annual vacation.
Raw benzene prices continue to rise, boosting the caprolactam market, giving nylon a certain support.
In January 18th caprolactam RMB liquid East China 17600-17800 yuan / ton acceptance, the offer is higher, the sale is obvious.
Before the annual holiday, the nylon market is running smoothly and the supply of goods is less. Some enterprises have raised the price by 500-800 yuan / ton according to the actual supply and demand situation.
With the end of the annual leave in February, the supply of market circulation was insufficient. Most enterprises entered the market after February 6th, and the downstream users were in the following week.
Because of the high price of raw materials to reduce the purchasing power of the enterprise, the price of the raw materials after the festival has no intention to reduce the price, the enterprise has to buy the source of high price for the normal business after the business.
And upstream manufacturers have not yet fully recovered, the supply of goods is relatively scarce, and downstream demand is surging.
According to the price monitoring of business associations, the growth of nylon staple was particularly evident as of February 28th.
The price of 1.5D*38mm nylon staple was 23200 yuan / ton, up 10.16% from the beginning of the month, up 49.44% from the same period last year.
March -5 mid month, nylon market downward, market performance is weak.
Benzene Market
Deep down in March, the bottom of the month rebounded slightly, the market began to "impenetrable".
As of March 31st, the reference price of pure benzene Market in East China was about 6400 yuan / ton, which was 1700 yuan / ton lower than the beginning of the month.
The caprolactam slipped too fast in the month, from profit to loss. From the perspective of nylon chips, the price of sticky chips in the mainstream polymerization plant in Jiangsu fell to 14500-15500 yuan / ton from 21500-22000 yuan / ton during the month. Most manufacturers did not quote the price.
When the raw material support is insufficient, the popularity of nylon is significantly reduced.
In April, nylon had not yet turned over to fight.
The instability of the pure benzene Market in the month makes the downstream market interlocking, and the terminal environmental protection inspection is very strict, and the demand is reduced rapidly. This leads to the lack of price guidance in the downstream market of benzene.
As of April 28th, the East China caprolactam market was weak, and the shipment price of liquid liquid from private enterprises was 12000-12200 yuan / ton, and the acceptance was delivered.
Nylon Market in May first fell and then rose, and the decline was the main part.
In the first week of May, manufacturers fell into a stalemate. Domestic Sinopec benzene benzene price dropped 200 yuan / ton to 6300 yuan / ton during the week.
caprolactam
Market listing also reduced to 11850 yuan / ton.
The decline was successfully announced in May 12th.
Since May 12th, with some caprolactam manufacturers late maintenance plan, factory price awareness has increased significantly, part of the attempt to raise quotations has become a direct factor in the rebound of the industry chain prices.
The price of nylon staple manufacturers increased slightly with the upstream price adjustment, and the increase in the latter half was mostly 700-1000 yuan / ton.
According to the price tracking of the business community, as of May 31st, a 1.5D*38mm of Haining polyamide staple was reported at 16500 yuan / ton, and a nylon filament 1.5D*38mm in a factory in Yueyang was quoted at 16500 yuan / ton.
The price of raw materials is stable and strong at the end of the month.
June
Nylon Market
Prices rose steadily.
The market supply is relatively small in the first week, and many caprolactam manufacturers take advantage of this opportunity.
In the week, the price range of nylon related products was relatively large. Taking nylon DTY (70D/24F) as an example, the price was quoted at 19683 yuan / ton in June 5th, up by 500 yuan / ton compared with June 4th, or 1.81%.
Three weeks after June, the price is the main force, but the market price is not enough. But the day of loosening has not come yet.
At present, the nylon market seems calm, but there is a downward trend in the later stage.
At present, the downstream buyers are pessimistic about lowering the quoted price. However, because of the measures adopted by the top eight industries of nylon, the inventory is at a low level, and the price of nylon market is still relatively strong.
From the analysis of caprolactam processing cost, if the caprolactam factory starts load increases and the stock reaches a "saturation" state, the nylon market will have at least 1000 yuan / ton of gliding space.
At present, the market outlook is not yet clear. It is expected that there will be some moves in the market around July 6th.
In the first half of the year, the related products of nylon filament and nylon staple are generally rising, and the cost and demand are playing a game in the near future. Once the balance is touched, there will be price adjustment measures.
After the middle of July, the nylon market will be overall downward, and the next half year will be a drop.
Nylon products are all raised 3000 yuan / ton, take nylon DTY (70D/24F) as an example, the lowest point in the second half of the year will reach 18500 yuan / ton.
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