Why Do We Say &#34? Autumn Grabs " The Market Will Come Up?

The core of every year's "autumn rush" market is "grabbing".

Once the bottom is detected, the index will rise rapidly.

This year, especially.

In the twinkling of an eye, when many people did not wake up from the stock market crash, the index rose from 2850 to 3391.

As a result, many people have been afraid of high psychology. They often use the 60 minute line and the 30 minute line "top deviation" to judge that the market needs to dive.

But the more than 3300 point is not high.

Little wonder, this year's first day after new year's day,

Closing 3350 points is the starting point of returning to new year's day and redoing the market trend.

During the period, GDP grew by 7%, and the performance of listed companies generally increased by about 10%, while the 10 month stock market investment was negative.

Besides, the first big bottom for the national team to save the market in July 9th is 3373 points, and the second bottom is 3537 points.

At present, the 3391 point is still in the bottom area.

After completing the elimination of the stock market crash, the index is not worth the risk of being high.

Looking at the stock market in the past 25 years, large organizations and stock market players always do the left side pactions.

When the stock market continues to fall, the popularity is slack, and the paction is extremely atrophic, the big institutions always use torture, repeatedly shake up the bottom and rub the floor, forcing investors who are not in good mood to empty the stock for the holidays, and chip the chips at the bottom.

This time around six points in the 3000-3250 point interval, investors in the left side successfully completed their positions when the market looked bad.

In the meantime, the mainstream market public opinion is: "there is still a last drop, to 2500 points", "patience to hold money, more see less action", "3256 points to the top of the box to break through the right side of the paction is not too late."

After the National Day holiday, the stock market has risen 6 days. Many people are waiting for the diving every day, but their wishes fail.

Until this Thursday, on the top of the 3256 point box top for 3 days, the investors who insisted on doing the right trading rushed to catch up, resulting in Thursday's market rose 75 points, clinched 825 billion 700 million, Friday rose 53 points, clinched 994 billion 300 million, and led to repeated wide shocks in the intraday market.

It is because of the aggressive pursuit of the right traders that it has accelerated the acceleration of the "autumn rush" market and triggered the sell-off of profit taking and unwinding.

Also due to the rise of the right-hand traders.

Higher, forcing them to have a lingering fear and have to make frequent short runs.

In this way, the future "autumn rush" market can not be a flat horse, but it is bound to be twists and turns, advance two retreat one, difficult and tortuous advance.

It must be noted that when the market continues to rise for a long time or close to the top of the shock box, the right traders will cause strong damage to the "autumn rush" market at any time.

Therefore, the "autumn rush" market is not like the spring market. It can cover all stocks to the spring harvest stage. Instead, we should grasp the law of box type oscillation and make frequent bands.

Recently, many people's concerns have been raised in the "autumn rush" market. Is it 3400? Or 3500? Or even 3800, 4200?

I think the guess index is of little value.

Because now the index of 3391 points is similar to the 3373 points of the rescue market in July 9th, but the connotation of the corresponding more than 2700 stocks has been very different.

Under the same index, the stock price of a stock has changed beyond recognition, and the blue chips have all depreciated in value, leaving the rising space to the small and medium sized high growth stocks to fill the index.

Therefore, excessive attention to the index is likely to make mistakes.

Based on my 25 years of stock market practice and conscientiously studying the experience of foreign stock market, I came to the conclusion that in any stock market, the largest share, the most frequent opportunity, the strongest anti dropping ability, the highest profit multiplier and the most enduring stock market charm are the repurchase and reorganization stocks with exogenous growth themes.

In the past one or two years, according to the national strategy and the latest policy orientation, I repeatedly called on people to attach importance to the value and assets of Shanghai's state-owned asset reform stocks.

And the real Shanghai Disney concept stock with a long explosive force.

Unfortunately, it is not accepted by people, or even think of no flower heads, and is more keen on financing to catch up with high priced stocks of gem.

As a result, the two heads failed.

Accustomed to the first half of the 1 trillion and 500 billion paction average volume, or even 2 trillion and 300 billion exploding volume, many people on the 7000-8000 billion daily turnover, the total feeling is too small, worried about the price volume does not match, rebound is not high.

This is also a matter of view.

Because, after 4 months' clearance, there are over 2 billions of OTC disks being expelled from the stock market.

On the spot financing has also decreased from 2 trillion and 370 billion to 960 billion, and has entered a reasonable range, making the current 7000-8000 billion trading volume more realistic.

Judging from the current stock margin of 2 trillion and 300 billion, the daily turnover of about 700000000000 has also accounted for 1/3, which is more than 1 billion per day, which can give investors a sense of reality, sureness and security.

Perhaps, in the future, such turnover will become a new normal for the stock market, and people must adapt to it as soon as possible.

In the current round of 2850-3391 point rebound, the biggest increase was Shanghai's state-owned asset reform concept stocks, Disney concept stocks and other asset restructuring stocks. On Thursday and five, they finally revealed their true colors.

To be sure, the subsequent "autumn grab" market, will continue to be this type of stock trading, shine, win the market, bring people reform dividends and restructuring dividends.

According to the 2-5-8 evolution rule of the Chinese stock market, after the 2800-3200 point shock is completed, it is now entering the 3200-3500 point box shock.

After the shock of this box is completed, especially at the 3537 point and the second one, the bottom will be recovered, and then we can study the possibility of shaking the box at 3500-3800, and take a step by step according to the relationship between volume and price.