Insight Into Turnover Changes

The classic motto of technical analysis is "quantity first." Sooner or later, changes in volume must be made. Price of stock It is reflected. It is for every investor to notice the dark horse in terms of volume changes. But in practice, how to get rid of the fog and see the real nature is not easy.

If the main draw is more resolute, then a sharp increase in volume and a sharp shrinkage will become the main theme of volume change. Although in many cases, the actions of the main players will be more subtle, the regularity of volume change is not obvious, but it is not without trace. An important measure is to observe the average moving volume. If trading volume vibrate frequently near the EMA, and when the stock price rises, the volume will exceed the average. When the share price falls, the volume is lower than the average. For example, Jinling Pharmaceutical (0919), the volume changes since the listing of the stock market has been following the above rules, indicating that chips are continuously concentrated in the main force. The transaction of intraday transaction is also worth paying attention to. Because in the days when trading volume is not large, the main force is not idle, but the amplitude of collection is not so great. At this point, we can observe the timesharing of the stock, such as 15 minutes, 30 minutes and 60 minutes. If there is a similar situation, it may also be the result of the main draw.

It should be noted that investors from volume To find a "dark horse", we must analyze the change of stock price. Because most of the stocks have large households, their short-term entry and exit will also lead to fluctuations in volume. The key is to distinguish between the fluctuations caused by such random transactions and the fluctuations caused by the main intention. We know that stochastic volatility does not exist to deliberately suppress stock prices. When the volume is released, the stock price tends to jump up, while the main buyer must lower the purchase price. Therefore, the rise of stock price and turnover volume has a certain continuity. According to this principle, a link can be established between volume changes and stock price ups and downs. Through technical means, we can filter out the volume enlargement of stock price jumps and understand the real concentration of chips. At present, there are a lot of analysis indicators on the market, but generally speaking, the narrower the scope of this index is, the better the effect is, because once spread, it is easy to be anti technology operation. But in any case, the above principles are timeless, because the main force is concealed and concentrated. chip Is the fundamental goal.

Volume accumulation is another important observation object. It plays an important role in judging the main cost of building a warehouse. In addition to the newly listed shares, most stocks have a densely traded area. The stock price needs to consume a lot of energy to break through the area, and it will become an important warehouse area of the main force, where a large number of chips can be collected at relatively low cost. Therefore, those stocks that have just broken through the important lock-in areas in history and accumulated a record high volume in the following regions are very noteworthy, because it shows that the strength of the new intervention is far superior to that of the previous ones, and the cost of building the warehouse is also higher. If there is no more room for the future market, the big funds will not be easily released for the capital in the field. However, if the cumulative volume is not large, that is, the so-called "easy to pass the top", we need to be vigilant, because this is often the main force, because the chips have accumulated a lot, making the lifting easier. Although this does not necessarily mean that the stock price can not create a new high, the cost of the main force is undoubtedly lower than that seen on the surface. Therefore, risk control should be paid more attention in the operation, especially when the stock market is weakening. It should be pointed out that, after the main force starts to build a warehouse, the more intensive the volume of a region is, the closer the cost of the main warehouse will be. This is because both the real buying and the main knocking are all cost intensive. The intensive transaction area is the most important cost area of the main force. The higher the accumulated volume and turnover rate, the more accumulated the chips will be and the stronger the strength will be. Once the time is ripe, such stocks are likely to become a "super black horse".